The political class is really not ready for a close Trump win propelled by working class Latino’s. — Saagar Enjeti, 9/8/2020
I know, I know, the idea that Donald Trump is racist is not exactly an original thought — it’s not even a thought I’m fully on bored with. I have long denied that Donald Trump was a racist, instead going for the solution that Trump has advisors with bad views and he can’t express them in a way that makes sense. However, I do think that race, specifically his lack of support among a certain racial group, has affected Trump in choosing not to concede.
For the past four years, the President has done many things to distance himself from the accusation of racism. He signed (rather moderate) Criminal Justice reform (which made his “law and order” 2020 platform rather confusing), promoted Blexit founder Candance Owens everywhere he could, and just before the election promised a “Platinum Plan” for Black communities. All of this managed to increase his support slightly among Black voters.
Trumps’ populism also gained him massive support from Latinos — who are primarily Catholic, and as such very open to various anti-capitalist and populist ideas. Trump dominated many Latino areas in the United States, most notably areas of Texas close to the Mexico border (rather these Latinos voted illegally like Mr. Trump use to warn about is up to interpretation) where Democrats have previously dominated.
So who did Mr. Trump lose support with? Simple, the same “white working class” populists have promised they were fighting for the entire time. According to exit polls, Donald Trump had an eight point loss among white male voters in 2020, compared to a two point gain among white women, a nine point gain among black voters, a five point gain among Latina voters, and an eight point gain among Latino voters. While no group flipped, Trump made big gains among every group except the biggest group in this country, which is the group that cost him re-election.
You might remember talk that white voters were the key to Donald Trump — and Republicans in general — winning future elections. On 11/17/2012, just after Romney lost against Obama, Ann Coulter published a column titled “Demography Is Destiney” (which quickly became a common phrase among immigration hawks) warning about a non-white future:
Most Americans don’t realize that, decades ago, the Democrats instituted a long-term plan to gradually turn the United States into a Third World nation. The country would become poorer and less free, but Democrats would have an unbeatable majority!
Under Teddy Kennedy’s 1965 immigration act, our immigration policy changed from one that replicated the existing ethnic population to one that strictly favored unskilled immigrants from the Third World. Since 1968, 85 percent of legal immigrants have come from what is euphemistically called “developing countries.”
The column in question also contains many direct references to race, including:
More white people voted for Mitt Romney this year than voted for Ronald Reagan in 1980. Barack Obama lost white voters by 20 points — the widest margin since 1984. But in 1980, whites were 88 percent of the electorate. In 2012, they were 72 percent of the electorate. Not only that, but the non-white electorate is far more Democratic than it was in 1980.
. . .
We can’t admit computer scientists from Spain fleeing their failing socialist nation because we have to make room for a recent Senegalese immigrant’s brother-in-law with no skills but great needs.
. . .
If you come to America and immediately go on welfare, by definition, you are not a desirable immigrant. Except as a voter for the Democratic Party. In the last half-century, California’s non-Hispanic white population has been cut in half, from 80 percent to 40 percent. Meanwhile, the Hispanic population has exploded from less than 10 percent to nearly 40 percent — mostly poor Mexicans.
And with that change, California went from being the state that produced anti-tax initiatives, Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan to a state that is absolutely untouchable by Republicans (see Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina) and just enacted the highest tax rate in any state.
The same has happened, or is happening, to other states, such as Colorado, New Mexico, Illinois and New York. If Texas ever flips, Republicans will never win another presidential election. The two major political parties will be the Nancy Pelosi Democratic Party and the Chuck Schumer Democratic Party.
Republicans’ low-tax, small-government philosophy will eventually become popular with today’s struggling Hispanics, but not before America is ruined with socialist policies promoted by populist hucksters so strangely beguiling to poor people the world over.
. . .
Most recent immigrants oppose abortion, gay marriage and big government. The problem is that poor, uneducated people — the Democratic base — are easily demagogued into voting tribally.
A white person can vote for a Republican or a Democrat without anyone saying to him, “HOW CAN YOU VOTE AGAINST YOUR RACE?” But that is exactly how poor Hispanics and blacks are pressured into voting Democratic.
Noticeably, the №1 issue President Barack Obama had in his favor this year was not his policies. It was that a majority of voters agreed with the statement: Obama “cares for people like me.” That’s how Hugo Chavez got elected. Running Hispanics won’t help Republicans. Ask Gary Franks, Lynn Swann or Michael Steele if being black won them the black vote.
Promoting amnesty won’t help — ask John McCain, who won about the same percentage of the Hispanic vote as Romney did. Or ask California’s Hispanics, only 4 percent of whom oppose Republican immigration policies. Their main beef with the GOP is that they think Republicans are “the rich.”
The only hope is to run another appealing Republican candidate in four years — when we’re not up against an incumbent president — and return our immigration.
Coulter has since become the loudest voice in the anti-immigration debate, and it’s arguable she was an important part in normalizing Donald Trump’s anti-immigration views among Republicans. Over the course of Obama’s second term, she spent most of her columns attacking immigration, even writing a full book on the topic. Her main argument has always remained the same, that Democrats are using immigrants as a way to get more votes for themselves.
This idea that minorities are nothing more than non-stop Democratic voters has been a theme in right-wing circles ever since. Of course, Democrats, being politicians, like getting votes for their political campaigns (funny, by the way, that Republicans are never seen as limiting immigration for any reason besides “the good of the country”). In a video for PragerU, Tucker Carlson said the following about why Democrats want more immigration:
Here’s the answer, in four simple facts.
One: According to a recent study from Yale, there are at least 22 million illegal immigrants living in the United States.
Two: Democrats plan to give all of them citizenship. Read the Democrats’ 2016 party platform.
Three: Studies show the overwhelming majority of first-time immigrant voters vote Democrat.
Four: The biggest landslide in American presidential history was only 17 million votes.
The payoff for Democrats: permanent electoral majority for the foreseeable future. In a word: power.
(Small note: Most illegal immigrants are only located in ten states, meaning they would have very little impact on a Presidential Election due to the Electoral College. Maybe this is what Bill O’Reilly was talking about when he said removing the Electoral College was a plot to take away power from white people.)
This, of course, has been part of a long standing idea that Democrats hate White People. Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) infamously called Martin Luther King Jr. day “hate whitey day” while in Congress. This kind of rhetoric led to Strom Thurmond (R-NC) switching parties in the 1960s, and remaining in the US Senate for another four decades. David Duke did pretty well — although he just narrowly lost — while running for Louisiana Governor in 1994 while espousing this, Duke actually won 55% of the white vote, causing him to say “I won with my people.”
This has caused Republicans to take the white vote for granted, especially certified in 2016 after Clinton failed in many Democratic “rust belt” areas that were commonly Democratic. However, as seen in 2020, they took the biggest voting block in the nation for granted.
This is the true reason Trump and his supporters cannot believe 2020. Trump has spent his past four years making up “very fine people” during a white nationalist march and doing everything possible to appeal to the people actually present. In 2020, he found that most white people are not populists, nor white nationalists, and that’s a lesson the RNC cannot understand.